Keep in mind here that I in no way claim to be a suspension dynamicist (is that a thing?).
I would think that vertical loads would impinge on the shock mounts and the stub axle. The lower link and the half shaft are jointed at both ends so they provide no resistance. The amount of loads on the stub axle would be determined by the amount of damping produced by the shock and the resistance from the spring. I’m somewhat less confident of this because it implies that when the car is at rest, there is no stress on the stub axle due to the weight of the car (which seems wrong). I think that’s actually correct but I wouldn’t be surprised if I was missing something.
If I am on the right track with this stuff, I think that getting an idea of the loads involved is not that difficult. To simplify (and overstate) them, we can assume that the outside tire takes the entire weight of the back of the car in a turn. If the car is generating 1g, then the force on the contact patch is equal to the weight of the rear of the car.
My simplification turns this into a pretty simple statics problem (and frankly, even at that, I’d have get out my old statics book, if I could find it, to try to put any numbers to this - that’s how much I’ve forgotten!) and it is certainly a lot more complicated than that but I THINK my simplification gives an idea of the loads we’re dealing with - excluding shock loads, some small multiples (< 1.5) of the weight of the rear of the car.
Since the lower link is jointed at both ends, theoretically it shouldn’t have any bending loads and a round steel tube as is used on the lower link should be plenty strong enough to deal with the compressive loads we’re talking about but in the real world, they can bend. My inclination is to suspect some violence imparted to it. It could bend from yielding in compression but I think that’s probably highly unlikely unless you hit a curb or something. However, I have twin link rear and one of my upper links is bent! For it to be hit by anything, that thing would have to find its way past the lower link and the half shaft, neither of which show any damage, or something would have to hit the top of my wheel and a hit that hard would definitely damage my wheel! So far, I have no explanation.
DISCLAIMER: The fact that I am so far unable to understand how my upper link got bent could put all my analysis into question!
I would love to see an article on suspension stresses! If anyone knows of one, please post a link!